Description

• True or False?

ABAB (AB)CA(BC) (AB)CA(BC) A(AB)A ABC(AB)C

Homework 1.2
Juan is playing the following game: he rolls two dice. If they sum up to 7 he loses a dollar. If they sum up to 2, he wins 2 dollars.
Otherwise, he doesn’t win nor lose.
After playing this game for a long time, what shall happen? why?
Homework 1.3
Jerry and Susan have a joint bank account.
Jerry goes to the bank 20% of the days.
Susan goes there 30% of the days.
Together they are at the bank 8% of the days.

Homework 1.4
Harold and Mary are studying for a test.
Harold’s chances of getting a “B” are 80%. Sharon’s chances of getting a “B” are 90%.
The probability of at least one of them getting a “B” is 91%.
a. What is the probability that only Harold gets a “B”?
b. What is the probability that only Sharon gets a “B”?
c. What is the probability that both won’t get a “B”?
Homework 1.5
Jerry and Susan have a joint bank account.
Jerry goes to the bank 20% of the days.
Susan goes there 30% of the days.
Together they are at the bank 8% of the days.
Are the events “Jerry is at the bank” and “Susan is at the bank” independent?

Homework 1.6
You roll 2 dice.
a. Are the events “the sum is 6” and “the second die shows 5” independent?
b. Are the events “the sum is 7” and “the first die shows 5” independent?
Homework 1.7
There is 30% chance of finding oil in TX, 20% – in AK, and 10% – in NJ.

1. What’s the probability of finding oil?
2. The company decided to drill and found oil. What is the probability that they drilled in TX?

Homework 1.8
Example 1:
An company is considering an investment.
The outcomes can be as follows:
Success: 20%
Average: 50%
Failure: 30%
The company decides to hire a specialist. His advice is either YES or NO.
From past experience, the company knows that:
p(YES|success) = 0.9 p(YES|Average) = 0.2 p(YES|Failure) = 0.1

The specialist said YES. What is the probability for success?