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STAT596 – The data set Portfolios Formed on ME eqW.txt contained portfolios constructed based on the market value of the company (total outstanding number of stock shares times the stock price). Columns 11 is the returns of the portfolio contains (equally weighted) the smallest 10% of the companies in terms of their market value. Solved
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Answer the following questions:
1. Calculate the market returns by taking the weighted average of columns 3 to 5, with weights
0.3, 0.4 and 0.3.
(a) Plot the market return series (plot(x,type=’l’) will do).
(b) Comment on the features you see in the figure
2. Use the data from 1965.01 to 1969.12 (rows 463:522) only to fit a simple linear regression usingColumn 11 (the small company portfolio) as the response variable and the market return you obtained in (1) as explanatory variable. Answer the following questions:
(a) Draw a scatter plot and add the estimated regression line to the plot.
(b) What is the standard error of b1 for estimating β1?
(c) Obtain a 95% confidence interval for b1. What does a confidence interval mean in general?
(d) What is the p-value for testing H0 : β0 = 0 vs H1 : β0 6= 0? What is your conclusion? (e) What is the p-value for testing H0 : β1 = 0 vs H1 : β1 6= 0? What is your conclusion?
(f) Perform a 5% level test for testing H0 : β1 = 1 vs H1 : β1 6= 1? What is your conclusion?
(g) Obtain the R2 of this linear regression model. What does it mean? Comment on it.
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